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Journal of Clinical Epidemiology 2015-Dec

Parametric time-to-onset models were developed to improve causality assessment of adverse drug reactions from antidiabetic drugs.

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Joep H G Scholl
Peter M van de Ven
Eugène P van Puijenbroek

Parole chiave

Astratto

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate whether the time to onset (TTO) of common adverse drug reactions (ADRs) of antidiabetic drugs could be modeled using parametric distributions and whether these TTO distributions were dependent on patient characteristics. Furthermore, information relevant for daily clinical practice was to be obtained.

METHODS

We performed an exploratory TTO modeling study, using a cohort of diabetes mellitus patients. Four parametric distributions (exponential, lognormal, gamma, and Weibull) were compared in terms of their goodness of fit. Covariates that could influence the TTO were investigated. In addition, TTO mean and median values were summarized for use in clinical practice.

RESULTS

Overall, the gamma distribution provided the best goodness of fit, although differences with the Weibull distribution were negligible in some instances. No differences in TTO distributions between different antidiabetic drugs for a given ADR were found. The TTO was influenced by suspected concomitant medication for metformin-associated diarrhea. Mean and median TTO values were similar for different drug-ADR combinations.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study shows that the TTO of common ADRs associated with antidiabetic drugs can be modeled using the gamma or Weibull distribution. Furthermore, clinically relevant information about these ADRs can be obtained.

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