Studies on the correlation among the fucosylation index, concentration of alpha-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin as prognostic indicators in hepatocellular carcinoma.

Our previous results showed that the fucosylation index (FI) was considered to be a useful prognostic factor in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). On the other hand, serum concentrations of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) were regarded as prognostic indicators. However, the relationship among FI, AFP, and DCP as prognostic factors remained unknown. The aim of this study was to elucidate the correlation among these three prognostic factors. One hundred and seventy-six patients with HCC from 1990 to 1998, who showed increment of serum AFP concentrations more than 30ng/ml before treatment, were examined in the present study. FI was determined in these patients by crossed immunoaffino-electrophoresis in the presence of Lens culinaris agglutinin. FI of AFP was defined as the percentage of the L. culinaris agglutinin (LCA)-reactive species in total AFP (same as L3 fraction). Serum concentrations of DCP were also measured. Enrolled patients with HCC underwent transcatheter arterial embolization, chemoembolization, percutaneous ethanol injection, and/or percutaneous microwave coagulation therapy. The current patients status was the one which was confirmed at the end of March 2001. Analysis by the Cox's proportional hazards model showed that FI, AFP, and DCP were significant prognostic factors. When the tentative demarcation levels of FI, AFP, and DCP were set at 18%, 200ng/ml, and 0.06arbitrary units (AU)/ml, respectively, the following results for the prognostication of patients with HCC were obtained. First, the survival rates in the groups with one out of the three optional markers over the demarcation level were significantly lower than the survival rates of other groups, whose optional one marker was equal to or less than the demarcation level, respectively. Next, the survival rates in the groups in which two out of three optional markers were over the demarcation levels were lower than the survival rates of other groups, whose optional two markers were equal to or less than the demarcation levels, with high significance. On the contrary, there was absence or attenuation of statistically significant differences in the survival rates between the groups in which two of the three optional markers showed no accordant results (high FI and low AFP versus low FI and high AFP, low FI and high DCP versus high FI and low DCP, high DCP and low AFP versus low DCP and high AFP). Finally, we compared the survival rates between the HCC groups, whose optional one marker was over the demarcation level and whose remainders were equal to or less than the demarcation levels and another HCC group whose optional one marker was equal to or less than the demarcation level and whose remainders were over the demarcation levels to reconfirm the weight of each prognostic factor. These comparisons together with Cox's analysis showed that the weight of each prognostic factor in the survival rates is consecutively ordered as DCP, FI, and AFP. The present study indicates that measurements of FI, AFP, and DCP from the sera before the initial treatment improve prognostic estimates and appraisal of the therapeutic outcome in patients with HCC.