Hypocalcemia-based prediction of hungry bone syndrome after parathyroidectomy in hemodialysis patients with refractory secondary hyperparathyroidism.

Objective This study was performed to explore the risk factors for hungry bone syndrome (HBS) and establish prediction equations for calcium supplementation after parathyroidectomy in hemodialysis patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism. Methods We retrospectively analyzed data from 252 hemodialysis patients undergoing successful total parathyroidectomy with autotransplantation. HBS was defined according to a minimum postoperative serum corrected calcium (PcCa) concentration of <2.0 mmol/L. Independent predictors of HBS were analyzed, and prediction equations for HBS were derived accordingly. Results The incidence of HBS was 71.4%. The serum corrected calcium and preoperative serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP) concentrations were independent predictors of HBS. The preoperative serum ALP, intact parathyroid hormone (iPTH), and hemoglobin concentrations were independent factors influencing the average descending velocity of the PcCa concentration before calcium supplementation (PcCa-V), intravenous calcium supplement holding time (IVCa-T), and intravenous calcium supplement dosage (IVCa), while the serum ALP and iPTH concentrations were independent predictors of the oral calcium supplement dosage (OCa). Four prediction equations for PcCa-V, IVCa-T, IVCa, and OCa were established. Conclusions Establishment of prediction equations for HBS may contribute to a new individualized therapy for patients with HBS.