Clinical Lymphoma, Myeloma and Leukemia 2019-May
Predictive Model for Infection Risk in Myelodysplastic Syndromes, Acute Myeloid Leukemia, and Chronic Myelomonocytic Leukemia Patients Treated With Azacitidine; Azacitidine Infection Risk Model: The Polish Adult Leukemia Group Study.
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RESULTS
Overall, 143 patients (62%) experienced serious infection, and in 94 patients (41%) infection occurred within the first 3 cycles. The following variables were found to have the most significant effect on the infectious risk in multivariate analysis: red blood cell transfusion dependency (odds ratio [OR], 2.38; 97.5% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-4.79), neutropenia <0.8 × 109/L (OR, 3.03; 97.5% CI, 1.66-5.55), platelet count <50 × 109/L (OR, 2.63; 97.5% CI, 1.42-4.76), albumin level <35 g/dL (OR, 2.04; 97.5% CI, 1.01-4.16), and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≥2 (OR, 2.19; 97.5% CI, 1.40-3.54). Each of these variables is assigned 1 point, and the combined score represents the proposed Azacitidine Infection Risk Model. The infection rate in the first 3 cycles of therapy in lower-risk (0-2 score) and higher-risk (3-5 score) patients was 25% and 73%, respectively. The overall survival was significantly reduced in higher-risk patients compared with the lower-risk cohort (8 vs. 29 months).